The latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign. The following is an overview of how the battleground states stand as of today. The states are links to the CNN poll.
In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week. In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.
Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time. In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent — a lead that hasn't changed over the last week. In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then. McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted. McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.
A CNN political researcher says, “The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956." McCain is now trailing, although narrowly, in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.
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5 comments:
I really have no confidence in polls and feel that they typically favor the dems regardless. It may be important to note that G.W. Bush was behind in the polls to John Kerry in late October back in 2004. All that matters in the end are the voters coming out.
The question I keep asking myself is that if I was in the saem position as McCain (as in I am the one running for office), what would I do to take the lead in those states?
The most obvious answer is to advertise. But what kind? NEGATIVE!! Making the other candidate look like an idiot/fool/unfit for office is one of the most effective ways to swing voters. The problem is, in the case of this election, is too much negative ads. People are getting sick of hearing how Obama is inexperienced, or McCain is an old political tool that is easily manipulated by wads of cash and lobbyists.
So now that option is out the window... what in the world can McCain do (short of switching sides on issues, which would only cost him more voters)?
If the polls are accurate, then whatever tactics McCain is using are not working. People are not listening to negative ads anymore; people are not paying attention to them. McCain has to try something new, and he has to do it fast.
exactly the whole negative ads thing are getting way out o hand ad their getting old too.. obviously no ne is reponding to them any more specially mccains ad.. and theres a week left for the elections and the count is starting .. if mccain wants to win this election he has to find really good tacticts other than those negative ads ASAP !!
I totally agree that it is all about coming out to vote on election day, but there are many people around the country that are being suppressed from voting. This suppression is being led by the
Republicans. It's not right.
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