A blog written by Manchester College students studying the 2008 presidential campaign.

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Is this 2004 or 2008?

According to recent polls, the current Electoral College map is beginning to mirror that of the 2004 elections. With seven weeks left before the elections, it is again coming down to the wire and to the states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Colorado, and Virginia. McCain appears to be leading Obama by only two to four percentage points in all of these states except Pennsylvania and Virginia of which the poll results list them as tied. Other information collected is worth noting as well: One in five voters say that they could change their minds and Ohio voters are even more unsure (30%). McCain is preferred and trusted more than Obama in all five of those states. About 40 percent of those people polled said they are uncomfortable with Obama serving as president, which is about the same amount who felt that way about the prospect of Governor Palin sitting in the oval office (38-45%). Voters are more comfortable with Biden as president than Obama, which I find very interesting since he did poorly in the democratic primaries and caucuses before dropping out all together. And finally, McCain has a slight advantage over Obama in appealing to unaffiliated voters. However, they each are leading the other for unaffiliated voters in two states and are tied in one. The race is shaping up to be very close, and there are too many factors that could easily shift it in either candidates' favor, such as the amount of campaign money raised in the last months and even weeks or whether or not Pennsylvania and Virginia will continue to swing against their normal partisanship.

http://elections.foxnews.com/category/top-story/

2 comments:

Wharden said...

I have noticed the resemblance also. I would like to add however that just recently volunteers for the Obama Campaign are now trying to convince voters who have traditionally voted republican to vote for Obama. According to polls and experts from CNN, it seems as though the democrats have a fighting chance to turn Indiana from a red state; however, like many of the other swing states it is a very close race but it is said that this is the most support democrats have gotten in Indiana for the presidential election in a very long time.

Wharden said...

Sorry I didn't intend to say that democrats haven't been trying to convince republicans to switch sides in the past I meant that for once in Indiana it actually means something.