A blog written by Manchester College students studying the 2008 presidential campaign.

Monday, October 6, 2008

Predictions for the Next Debate

What can we expect from the presidential debate tomorrow night? As Obama surges even more in the polls than before the first debate, taking as much as a seven point lead in some states over McCain, I think both candidate's strategies will remain similar but more excessive. According to Patricia Murphy's predictions, the editor and founder of citizenjanepolitics.com, McCain's campaign is really hurting because his support from female voters has drastically dropped since the beginning of the economic crisis, and he needs to reappeal to them. She says that women are the majority of voters, and if McCain can win their support, he will win the election. Some ways she lists to accomplish this include: relating his proposals to women's lives, getting real, disclosing who his Secretary of Treasury will be, and blaming President Bush a little. I agree with Murphy that McCain needs to be more specific when he uses jargon like eliminating "pork barrel" spending by giving examples of the positive effect this would actually have on the economy. He should consider eliminating phrases like, "Drill, baby, drill," and get to the point about how offshore drilling would actually help. Also, McCain and Palin need to listen to not only women but all voters so that voters know they care about the most important issues to them. Next, Murphy thinks McCain should name who will be his Secretary of Treasury now in order to ensure voters that even though he has openly admitted he does not understand the economy quite like he should, someone will be behind his financial policies who does. Finally, she believes McCain should consider strongly disagreeing with President Bush and maybe even blaming him for our economic crisis because although McCain has taken many stands against him in the past, he never has on an economic issue. Also, since the Obama-Biden campaign keeps making comparisons between McCain and President Bush and saying the next four years will like the last eight if he is elected, McCain really needs to distance himself from the President even more so.

http://foxforum.blogs.foxnews.com/2008/10/06/pmurphy_1006/#more-1400

5 comments:

Michael Neese said...

Man McCain just keeps running into more problems as we come closer and closer to election day. Like stated in this blog, the majority of voters are women. And McCain can hardly manage to get their votes and he has a female vice presdential candidate on his side. Somewhere along the line he needs to come on strong to the female voters again. Perhaps the voters do diagree with his economic stand points. His communication on the issue hasn't been his strong point throughout. He never seems to answer the questions completely when asked what he will do and what can be done.

MMPenner said...

McCain has his work cut out for him in distancing himself from the policies of the Bush administration. No matter how much he says or does, Obama and Biden can always return to that statistic of them sharing beliefs on legislation 90%+ of the time. And if McCain criticizes Bush too much, then they can also turn it on him as being consistently wrong and poor of judgment. McCain, in being a Republican, has a lot of work crafting the image of being different from Bush (who arguably has been one of the worst presidents of all time).

Jihan k said...

no matter what maccain says or does he'll always be in contradiction with him self or the things he said in the past, which will make him look as if hes only saying things just for the sake of being elected as the next president.

Adam VanZile said...

I am glad to see McCain's selection of Palin is not working. It was an obvious tactic and McCain should have known better than to pick a candidate that is not qualified. McCain needs to reassess his strategy if he wants to keep this election close. McCain must distance himself from the Bush administration, that is one of the issues that turned me against him... I have seen what Bush has done for 8 years, I do not need to see it for another 4.

mili said...

I agree with the fact that McCain has to distance himself from Bush. The question is how can he do this at this point of the General Election without contradicting himself.