A blog written by Manchester College students studying the 2008 presidential campaign.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

John McCain: Down but not out yet...

No matter who wins this election; it certainly has been historic. America has experienced record-breaking voting turnout for the state primaries, and the early indication that early ballots are at an all time high. The polls have shown Barack Obama is leading nationally and in the Electoral College, as determined by the polls. However, in recent days, John McCain has closed the gap in many of the swing states and even nationally. I think what is important to note is that the polls are not the final verdict for the election. I was actually channel surfing just now and saw Michael Moore on Larry King Live, and he mentioned that we [Americans] cannot follow the polls, because if we did the ballot would have been Rudy Giuliani for the Republican Party and Hillary Clinton for the Democratic Party. The polls have some significance and allow the campaigns to know where they stand amongst voters; but the results of the polls are only suggestive, not an indicator of victory.
We have seen John McCain counted out throughout his campaign; he was out of money, had a poor showing in Iowa and everyone thought it was done. However, McCain revitalized his campaign (heads certainly rolled) and he was the eventual Republican nominee for President. John McCain has been shown to be getting blown away in polls, however this article reports Barack Obama leading 44 to 43 percent nationally, according to an Associated Press poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media.
What will be interesting to see is what these campaigns have still kept in their arsenal and are waiting to use at the last possible moment. It is foolish to believe these campaigns have gone on the offensive with everything that have and so these last 10 days will truly be full-fledged Presidential politics. You also have to assume that John McCain will continue to go on the offensive, especially now considering some polls are showing a "glimmer of hope" for the McCain campaign. Barack Obama has always appeared cool, calm and collected throughout the campaign and has warned supporters not to get too cocky. Hopefully supporters heed the warning of Senator Obama. A common theme from the Obama campaign is that John McCain is the same as George W. Bush; hopefully that theme from the Obama campaign does not come back to haunt them. George W. Bush was down by double digits to Al Gore coming into the general election only to win the Presidency. So in that regard, the Obama campaign better hope that John McCain is not John "McSame"...

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